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    The premier site for active option and equity traders, providing the fastest, most thorough, and accurate options analytics in the industry.  OptionsHawk is the first, and best, site to provide real-time analysis of Institutional and Unusual options trades.

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    The options market has consistently been a leading indicator of future price movement in stocks. I have consistently been able to predict large stock moves due to takeovers, earnings, technical breaks, and other events that move stocks.

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  • Market Views

    9/26/16

    Technical View:

    The S&P had a strong week after the BOJ and Fed both continued with their accommodative monetary policies. After holding support at 2,120 and the 100-EMA we broke above near-term resistance at 2,160 and appear to have momentum to re-test the major range from August. Tech and small caps are leading with the Nasdaq and Russell hitting new highs. MACD crossed over bullish last week on a daily timeframe which could add momentum to the move higher. Support for the week below is at the 50-EMA at 2,155 and 2,140 which was a major volume area from the past two weeks. We have a low volume area on the profile from 2,145 to 2,165 which could see some chop before moving out of the range. Above Thursday’s highs the levels to watch are 2,190/2,195 which opens up a measured move to 2,240.

    Sentiment/Internals:

    The AAII Sentiment Survey for the week ending 9/21/16 showed a decline in bullish sentiment by 3.1% to 24.8%, a rise in neutral responses by 0.7% to 36.9%, and a rise in bearish sentiment by 2.4% to 38.3%. The spread between bullish and bearish responses is 13.5%, the widest spread since May/June and historically an extreme. The NAAIM Exposure Index rose slightly to 79.31 after last week’s drop. Equity fund flows for the week showed a $3.4B outflow from equities and inflows of $5B to taxable bonds. The percentage of S&P 500 stocks trading above their 50-day MA jumped back to 50% while the percentage above their 200-day MA is 74.6%.  As of Friday’s close there were 82 new 52-week highs on the NYSE against just 8 new lows. The CBOE Equity P/C ratio closed at 0.65 and Index P/C ratio closed at 1.26. The NYSE Cumulative A/D hit new highs this week. Summation closed at 571.49, the first weekly rise in eight weeks.  The VIX:VXV ratio closed at 0.77.

  • Daily Freebies

    September 20th, 2016

    Mellanox Tech (MLNX) a name struggling since March but a trader opens 500 March 2017 $48/$34 bull risk reversals at $0.30 debit, and a name that has seen some unusual call buys and could make a nice M&A target.  The $2B company trades 10X Earnings, 2.6X Sales and 17.7X FCF with strong growth and impressive margins.

    Alexion Pharma (ALXN) buyer of 500 Jan. 2017 $100 deep ITM calls at $33.60, same spot with 1,500 recently bought, and similar action in deep ITM BioMarin (BMRN) Jan. 2017 calls, both rare disease plays

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  • Recent Highlights

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