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  • Market Views

    8/24/15

    Technical View:

    The S&P broke down out of its long sideways range in a big way last week after weeks of toying with the 200 day MA, it came with a sharp two day sell-off breaking various support levels along the way and snapping a 3.5 year uptrend. The 1,950 level is on watch as potential support, followed by the 1,880/1,900 zone, but with all the wreckage done the bounced will look suspect with bears now firmly in control. The 1,950 level is also the measured move target of the 2,130/2,040 range break. On a recovery resistance levels will be at 2,000 and 2,040, former support levels now become resistance.

    Sentiment/Internals:

    The latest AAII Sentiment Survey showed a rise in Neutral sentiment while both Bullish and Bearish sentiment fell, the former now down to 26.8% compared to a 38.78% historical average. The NAAIM Exposure Index continued to fall, coming in at 41.48, the lowest reading since October 22nd, 2014. The latest fund flow data showed $276M of outflows from equity funds. As of Friday’s close 37 new highs compared to 1,132 new lows and now just 20.8% of stocks trading above the SMA50 and 27.7% above the SMA200. The CBOE Equity Put/Call surged to 1.04 to close the week, the highest reading in over 6 months and Index Put/Call at 1.65 is also very elevated. NYSE Cumulative A/D broke to near the lowest level of 2015 but remains in positive territory, while NYMO finished the weak -71.56, an extreme oversold level. The VIX:VXV ratio surged to 1.19, another extreme as the VXI curve has entered backwardation, often a signal of a market near a bottom.

  • Daily Freebies

    August 27th,  2015

    Incyte (INCY) buyer of 4,500 January 2016 $135/$165 call spreads for $6, large trade in a Biotech considered a likely M&A target. INCY has a $19.58B market cap and posted 63.7% revenue growth last quarter, a top player in the IDO space recently started Overweight with a $125 target at Barclays. INCY is the 2nd largest holdings of the Baker Brothers who added to their position in Q2, and is a name that Gilead could pursue to become a player in cancer therapies.

    XPO Logistics (XPO) spread sells 3,500 November $30 puts to open $1.60 to buy 3,500 November $40/$45 call spreads at $1.40, net credit trade, and XPO has seen 9,000 February $45/$55 call spreads accumulate in OI recently

    Retrophin (RTRX) buyer of 5,000 December $30 calls to open $2.50, rolls out of long-held September $25 call position

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  • Recent Highlights

    RECENT HIGHLIGHTED TRADES

    * Closed Mondelez (MDLZ) Calls +292.16% on 7/29

    * Closed Teva Pharma (TEVA) Call Spreads +157.5% on 7/27

    * Closed Masco (MAS) Calls +113.3% on 7/23

    * Closed Owens Corning (OC) Calls +47% on 7/22

    * Closed Exxon Mobil (XOM) Puts +60% on 7/20

    * Closed Akamai (AKAM) Calls +75% on 7/20

    * Closed Amgen (AMGN) Calls +43.1% on 7/20

    * Closed Fortune Brands (FBHS) Calls +132.6% on 7/22

    * Closed Facebook (FB) Calls +197% on 7/9

    * Closed Comcast (CMCSA) Calls +71.4% on 6/18

    * Closed Mobile-Eye (MBLY) Calls +50% on 6/11

    * Closed Bristol Myers (BMY) Calls +110% on 5/11

    * Closed Prudential (PRU) Calls +110% on 5/7

    * Closed Altera (ALTR) Call Spread +65.5% on 4/22

    * Closed Gilead (GILD) Calls +86.67% on 5/4

    * Closed Salesforce.com (CRM) Calls +400% on 4/29

    * Closed Qlik Tech (QLIK) Calls +140% on 4/24

    * Closed Dunkin Brands (DNKN) Calls +81.8% on 4/23

    * Closed Delta (DAL) Call Spread +128.5% on 4/15

    * Closed General Electric (GE) Calls +158.8% on 4/10

    * Closed Kraft (KRFT) Calls +620% on 3/25

    * Closed Eli Lilly (LLY) Calls +100% on 3/18

    * Closed Cypress Semi (CY) Calls +100% on 3/13

    * Closed ZIOPHARM (ZIOP) Call Spread of 3/4 at +141%

    * Closed YUM Brands (YUM) Calls +104.44% on 2/25

    * Closed Applied Material (AMAT) Calls +50% on 2/19

    * Closed MasterCard (MA) Calls +86% on 2/19

    * Closed Aglient (A) Call Spreads +117.65% on 2/18

    * Closed United Tech (UTX) Calls +190% on 2/13

    * Closed Pepsi (PEP) Calls +83.78% on 2/11

    * Closed Alcoa (AA) Calls +86.15% on 2/5

    * Closed BlackBerry (BBRY) Put Spread +40% on 2/2

    * Closed Abbot Labs (ABT) Calls +50% on 1/29