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  • Market Views

    8/28/16

    Technical View:

    The S&P had its worst week since June closing lower each of the last three sessions as traders assess the comments from Fed Chair Janet Yellen about a possible rate hike in 2016. Markets whipsawed on Friday up to 2,187 and down to 2,160 but closed within a major range which has been building since early July. We remain in a channel higher which targets 2,200 but short-term momentum shifting to the downside with the 8, 13, and 20-EMA now sloping downward. The 8-2 low at 2,147 remains a key spot to maintain for the bulls which also aligns with the rising 50-EMA. The prior breakout at 2,120 is major support below on an extended pullback. Above 2,200 the market would have a measured target of 2,240 from the April/June range.

    Sentiment/Internals:

    The AAII Sentiment Survey for the week ending 8/24 showed a decline in bullish responses by 6.1% to 29.4%, a rise in neutral responses by 2.9% to 40.9%, and a rise in bearish responses by 3.3% to 29.6%. Neutral responses remain elevated to their long-term average which is 31% while bullish responses are far below their average at 38.5%. The NAAIM Exposure Index closed at 97.8, a modest decline W/W but remaining elevated and near the January 2015 highs. Equity fund flows showed outflows of $6.4B from equities, the largest weekly outflow since July, and inflows of $2.4B to taxable bonds. The percentage of S&P 500 stocks trading above their 50-day MA was 59.80%, the lowest level since early July while the percentage above their 200-day MA fell to 78.8%. As of Friday’s close there were 196 new highs on the NYSE versus just 11 new lows, similar breadth across the Nasdaq. The CBOE Equity P/C ratio closed at 0.73 and Index P/C ratio at 1.09. The NYSE Cumulative A/D fell W/W for the first time since June while Summation closed at 878.73. Cumulative TICK continued to make new highs. VIX:VXV ratio closed at 0.84.

  • Daily Freebies

    August 9th, 2016

    Tesaro (TSRO), a Biotech that surged on data in June and immediately saw a ton of opening put sales showing a willingness to buy the stock on even the slightest of weakness, seeing a nice range breakout today and a buyer of 500 Jan. 2017 $110 calls for $8.45 in a stock replacement.  RW Baird initiated shares Outperform in July with a $105 target, and Wedbush last week with a raised $107 target, seeing its aggressive launch strategy for niraparib putting it in first-mover position in second line ovarian cancer, and also notes TSRO is an acquisition target.

    Hilton (HLT) seeing similar action as yesterday with buyers active in September $25 calls for 4,000X after 5,000 opened 8/8, and sellers active for 4,750 September $23 puts after 8,000 sold to open on 8/8

    Hain Celestial (HAIN)  sweep of 1,500 September $55 calls for $1.75 to $1.90 to open this morning, shares on the session highs and name with M&A talk recently.  HAIN one of the names exhibiting inverted skew for August and September

  • Site News

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  • Recent Highlights

    RECENT HIGHLIGHTED TRADES

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