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    The premier site for active option and equity traders, providing the fastest, most thorough, and accurate options analytics in the industry.  OptionsHawk is the first, and best, site to provide real-time analysis of Institutional and Unusual options trades.

    OptionsHawk provides live intraday options analysis, allowing you to trade with the “smart money”, as I monitor large institutional trades and unusual options activity. 

    The options market has consistently been a leading indicator of future price movement in stocks. I have consistently been able to predict large stock moves due to takeovers, earnings, technical breaks, and other events that move stocks.

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  • Market Views

    7/28/14

    Technical View:  

    The S&P has now formed a cup and handle pattern below 1,985 and on the low Friday held the rising 20 day SMA, supportive at 1,974. A move above 1,985 still sets up for a measured move to 2,015, though a clear bearish RSI divergence is forming on the chart. If 1,974 were to break the next level of support is 1,960, followed by the 50 day MA at 1,946. It remains a sideways consolidation in what is a longer term strong uptrend.

     

    Sentiment/Internals:

    The latest AAII Sentiment Survey showed a drop in bullish sentiment by 2.7% to 29.6%, well below the 39% historical average, so individual investor remain cautious, and bearish sentiment rose 1.5% to 29.9%, and Neutral sentiment at 40.4% also indicates a lot of uncertainty. The NAAIM Exposure Index last week came in at 82.75, in-line with the prior quarter average, and still near a 2 month low. Fund flow data showed an outflow of $7.6B from equity funds last week, the first outflow in many weeks. As of Fridays close 204 stocks made new highs and 90 at new lows, starting to see weaker participation, and just 55.2% of stocks trading above the 50 day SMA. The Equity Put/Call closed the week at 0.62, elevated, and Index Put/Call at 1.49 extremely elevated. The NYSE cumulative A/D did not confirm the recent move to new highs, and not surprisingly we quickly pulled back off those highs. NYMO finished the week at -31.9, oversold, and CBOE Skew Index still indicating extreme fear, bullish for the contrarian, the market is well hedged against a decline. NYSE Summation continues to be the worrisome signal, now down to 599.2 from a 1053.2 high, a bearish divergence that can eventually lead to a move back to the lower Bollinger Band at 1,956.4 on a sell-off.

  • Daily Freebies

    July 28th, 2014

    Google (GOOG) large trade sold 1,250 September $160 calls $6.80 (likely to close), and bought the January 2015 $610/$675 call ratio spread 1,000X1,250 while also selling 1,000 of the $500 puts at $6.50.

    Dollar Tree (DLTR) moving off lows and 4,500 August $57.50 calls popular with large buys at $0.85 to $1.30 since touching a day low on the CSFB downgrade, option traders seeing the Family Dollar (FDO) acquisition as a positive.

    RF Micro (RFMD) opening buys of 8,000 January 2015 $12 calls at $0.75 offers as bullish action keeps coming for this name

    Pulte Homes (PHM) shares down sharply the last 3 days and buyers come in now for 5,500 August $18.50 calls at $0.50 offers expecting shares to recover

  • Strategy of the Month
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