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    The premier site for active option and equity traders, providing the fastest, most thorough, and accurate options analytics in the industry.  OptionsHawk is the first, and best, site to provide real-time analysis of Institutional and Unusual options trades.

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  • Market Views

    9/29/14

    Technical View:  

    Stocks suffered a 1% down week which was expected after rallying right into resistance and noticing a few bearish divergences that have played out, and although there is room for further weakness, the bigger picture has not changed with a market trending up with higher highs and higher lows. Heading into the week the 1,966 low from last week is clearly the first level of importance on the downside, followed by trend support at 1,950, the 120 day MA that has marked many bottoms the past 18 months at 1,940, and lastly the 150 MA at 1,925. The upside levels of note at 1,993, 2000, 2010, and 2020 before a new high target of 2,040 can be achieved.

     

    Sentiment/Internals:

    The latest AAII Sentiment Survey showed bullish sentiment down narrowly to 41.8%, above the 39% historical average still, while bearish sentiment rose 5.2% to 28.2%. The NAAIM Exposure Index say a steep drop to 59.76, compared to a 71 average the past quarter, and marks the lowest reading since 8/20. The latest week of fund flows data showed $5.6B of inflows to equity funds. The CNN Fear & Greed Index finished the week at 17, Extreme Fear, the CBOW Skew Index moved back to Neutral after an extreme fear indication last week. As of Fridays close 73 new highs compared to 221 new lows and just 31.6% of stocks trading above the SMA50 as breadth has seen weakness. CBOE Equity Put/Call at 0.71 is elevated, while Index Put/Call at 0.94 Neutral. NYSE Cumulative A/D has fallen back to near the August lows, and NYMO closed the week at -43.45, still oversold conditions. NYSE Summation at -55.3 is below the August low, while price is above. S&P stocks above the 50 day MA fell to a low of 195 last week, far from the 115 seen in August under worse conditions. The Feds exit strategy has dominated the sentiment, and recent slowdowns in China and the Eurozone has weighed on stocks, while the strength in the US Dollar has hit the entire commodity sector.

  • Daily Freebies

    September 30th, 2014

    Himax Tech (HIMX) big buyer of 13,000 October 31st (W) $10.50 calls to open at $0.70, and follows a massive call buy in HIMX last week

    Lear (LEA) Dec. 90/100 call spreads bought 1000X with Nov. $85 puts sold to open 1,000X. LEA shares are down 11% in the month, but the $7.23B Co. trading 9.7X Earnings and 2.32X Book is a top value play.

    Informatica (INFA) buyer of 2,500 March 2015 $35 calls at $2.35 and sells 5,000 March 2015 430 puts at $1.30, bullish positioning in a name that was oddly strong yesterday after TIBCO (TIBX) was acquired.

    Tiffanys (TIF) buyer of 2,000 October $97.50 calls $1.24 to $1.27, Dan Loeb stake disclosed last night

  • Strategy of the Month
  • Recent Highlights

    RECENT HIGHLIGHTED TRADES

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