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  • Market Views


    Technical View:

    A very quiet week for the S&P which saw us close basically flat after weakness early in the week brought a re-test of the rising 8-EMA. We remain coiled below 2,190 and above the prior breakout at 2,175 with 2,200 the measured move above from the April/June range. MACD looks ready to cross back over bullish on the daily timeframe and RSI remains steady above 60. The Fibonacci extensions from the February lows measure to 2,235 and 2,270 which would be longer-term targets to keep in mind as we enter the latter months of 2016. Support below this week will be the rising 8 and 13-EMA at 2,178/2,174 while the 20-EMA at 2,167 will be key, the same spot where we found support on the 8-2 sell-off.


    The latest AAII Sentiment survey showed bullish responses up 1.5% to 31.3%, bearish responses flat at 26.8%, and neutral responses down 1.5% to 42%. Bullish and bearish Reponses remain below long-term averages while Neutral is elevated, 31% vs 42%.  The NAAIM Exposure Index was relatively flat for the week to 92.86.  Lipper Fund Flows showed a $3.8B outflow from equities and a $5.2B inflow to taxable bonds. The percentage of S&P stocks above their 50-day MA was 71% while the percentage above their 200-day MA was 79.6%, both slightly higher for the week. NYSE Summation fell to 1,065.23, the third week of declines. As of Friday’s close the number of stocks on the NYSE making new highs was 163 versus just 9 new lows, the Nasdaq showing similar breadth (118/31). Cumulative TICK is nearing new highs. NYMO closed the week at -11.53, third straight week closing below zero.

  • Daily Freebies

    August 9th, 2016

    Tesaro (TSRO), a Biotech that surged on data in June and immediately saw a ton of opening put sales showing a willingness to buy the stock on even the slightest of weakness, seeing a nice range breakout today and a buyer of 500 Jan. 2017 $110 calls for $8.45 in a stock replacement.  RW Baird initiated shares Outperform in July with a $105 target, and Wedbush last week with a raised $107 target, seeing its aggressive launch strategy for niraparib putting it in first-mover position in second line ovarian cancer, and also notes TSRO is an acquisition target.

    Hilton (HLT) seeing similar action as yesterday with buyers active in September $25 calls for 4,000X after 5,000 opened 8/8, and sellers active for 4,750 September $23 puts after 8,000 sold to open on 8/8

    Hain Celestial (HAIN)  sweep of 1,500 September $55 calls for $1.75 to $1.90 to open this morning, shares on the session highs and name with M&A talk recently.  HAIN one of the names exhibiting inverted skew for August and September

  • Site News

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  • Recent Highlights


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