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  • Market Views

    7/24/17

    Technical View:

    The S&P extended its run to all-time highs last week and continuing to work towards a measured target of 2,500 from the recent range. The move higher over the last eight days is getting mildly extended above its short-term moving averages with near-term support at 2453 while the 20-EMA is a strong line in the sand at 2,447. The larger outlook remains bullish with the long-term target remaining at 2,535 which is the measured target from the 2011 lows. The 2,492 level is the 138.2% Fibonacci extension of note above from the May lows to June highs and the 150% level up near 2,504. The upper bands of channel higher is at 2,520. MACD is hitting its highest levels since early June while CCI is rolling over a bit from overbought levels. DMI+/- crossed over bullish on 7/14 and now in a positive trend.

    The latest AAII Sentiment Survey for the week ending 7/19 showed a 7.2% increase in bullish responses to 35.5%, a 3.4% decline in neutral sentiment and a 3.8% decline in bearish sentiment to 25.8%. Bullish responses are at their highest level since May 8 but still below the long-term average. NAAIM exposure fell to 84.26, the lowest since May. Equity fund flows showed $2.6B in outflows for the week with $7.6B of inflows to taxable bonds. DSI sentiment for the S&P is at 83%, an extreme, while bond sentiment is at 50%. The percentage of stocks above their 50-day MA was 71.8% while the percentage above their 200-day was 75.4%. The CBOE Equity P/C ratio was 0.56, a near-term low, while Index P/C ratio was 0.67 which is also at an near-term low. Summation was 727.85, the highest level since early March. Cumulative TICK hit new highs confirming the recent index strength.

  • Daily Freebies

    July 25, 2017

    California Resources (CRC) shares moving higher with 4,750 August $8 calls bought $0.75 to $0.85 to open, name which is highly leveraged to oil and has a significant short float, over 35%

    Discovery (DISCA) on the lows of the day with more bearish flow as 1,500 August $25 puts open and another 1,250 of the $27.50 puts trade today where over 7,000 were bought recently. DISCA recently with reports of a deal with SNI but some concerns about a potential stock-for-stock structure. DISCA August $25 puts now trading 7,000X on the morning with a block at $0.70 here

    Micron (MU) with 5,000 January $26 calls opening $6.35 to $6.45 today into weakness, shares trying to hold above the post-earnings lows in early July

  • Site News

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  • Recent Highlights

    RECENT HIGHLIGHTED TRADES

    • Closed Marriott (MAR) Calls 3/27 at +242%
    • Closed Mobileye (MBLY) Calls 3/13 at +383%
    • Closed Alexion Pharma (ALXN) Calls 2/16 at +65%
    • Closed Vertex Pharma (VRTX) Call Spreads on 2/15 at +57.5%
    • Closed Bunge (BG) Calls 2/15 at +100%
    • Closed Baidu (BIDU) Calendar Call Spreads 2/13 at +60%
    • Closed eBay (EBAY) Calls on 1/26 at +120%
    • Closed Lyondell (LYB) Calls on 1/24 at +129%
    • Closed Netflix (NFLX) Calls on 1/18 at +125%