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  • Market Views


    Technical View:  


    The S&P touched each side of the range last week as we saw some volatility expansion, a consolidation pattern continues to form and the spread between the 8 and 20 day EMAs narrows, short-term momentum fading slightly. The levels are fairly clear, and easy to trade for a risk standpoint, utilizing the low from last week of 1,955 as important support, and a move below would target the lower Bollinger Band at 1,945, and the 50 day MA is at 1,936.50. Resistance is in the 1,982/1,985 range, and clearing that sets up for a 30 point move to 2,015 as an upside target and aligns closely with the weekly upper Bollinger Band that has acted as resistance on rallies. The 8 week EMA marked the low last week, so a close below breaks some momentum, and then look to the 20 week EMA at 1,910.



    The latest AAII Sentiment Survey showed bullish sentiment down 5.3% to 32.4%, well below the 29% historical average, and bearish sentiment down 0.2% to 28.5%, near its historical average. The NAAIM Exposure Index reading last week was 81.91, in-line with the prior quarter average, and at a 7 week low. Fund flows showed $4.3B of inflows into equity funds, a continuous trend of inflows for many weeks now though in small increments. As of Fridays close 219 stocks made new highs and 74 new lows, while only 58.6% of stocks are trading above the SMA50 and 65.6% above the SMA200. The CBOE Equity Put/Call closed the week at 0.56, a Neutral reading after an intra-week spike to 0.67 was a solid buy signal for stocks, and Index Put/Call at 1.11 also at a Neutral level. NYSE Cumulative A/D has some work to do, rebounded late last week but well below the 40,700 high, and NYMO at -25.4 still indicates we are fairly oversold, though well off the extreme -62.7 hit earlier in the week. NYSE Summation continues to trend lower, diverging from price, closing the week at 711.7.

  • Daily Freebies

    July 23rd, 2014

    Trip Advisor (TRIP) bullish spread for earnings bought 600 August $110 calls and sold 400 September $95 puts, a trade that cost $93,000 to put on, and looking for a breakout of this cup and handle pattern. A spread like this into earnings typically a good signal.

    Apple (AAPL) making a strong post-earnings move and trading 670,000 calls to 300,000 puts just an hour into the day, big buyers highlighted this morning on September $105 calls at $0.70 up to $0.85 with more than 30,000 now trading. AAPL call premium bought is at $9M right now, extremely high, and a +4.4M Net Delta, one of the highest readings Ive seen intraday in any name.

    AngioDynamics (ANGO) buyer of 1,000 October $15/$12.50 bull risk reversals $1.10 debit into earnings and also 1,000 January 2015 $17.50 OTM calls opening $1.20 to $1.35. ANGO closed lower last report after closing higher the prior 3. The $528M medical device Co. trades 37.25X Earnings, 0.98X Book and 1.5X Sales with double digit EPS growth. Canaccord upgraded to Buy with a $20 target on 6-19.

    Atmel (ATML) big buyers stepping in for 7,000+ August $9 calls $0.50 offers ahead of 8/6 earnings

  • Strategy of the Month
  • Recent Highlights


    * Closed Occidental Petro (OXY) Calls +111.5% on 6/12

    * Closed Alcoa (AA) Calls +250% on 6/9

    * Closed Apollo Global (APO) Calls +100% on 6/9

    * Closed Amgen (AMGN) Calls +1205% on 6/4

    * Closed Dean Foods (DF) Calls +88.9% on 5/29

    * Closed Monsanto (MON) Calls +171.4% on 5/28

    * Closed American Air (AAL) Calls +42.5% on 5/27

    * Closed Down Chemical (DOW) Calls +72.9% on 5/27

    * Closed CSX Corp (CSX) Calls +50.4% on 5/12

    * Closed UPS (UPS) Calls +60% on 5/12

    * Closed McDonalds (MCD) Calls +100% on 5/2

    * Closed Citrix Systems (CTXS) Call Spread +126.7% on 4/24